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Can We Predict Multiple Sclerosis Before It Starts? What Genetic and Lifestyle Risk Scores Really Tell Us
Can We Predict Multiple Sclerosis Before It Starts? What Genetic and Lifestyle Risk Scores Really Tell Us

Predicting multiple sclerosis (MS) sounds like the kind of scientific breakthrough that could change everything—catch risk early, test prevention strategies sooner, and ideally stop disease before symptoms appear. This post walks through what the evidence actually says about MS risk prediction today, focusing on polygenic risk scores (PRS), environmental risk factors (like smoking, obesity, vitamin D status, and EBV-related history), and what happens when researchers combine them. You’ll see why these tools can be genuinely useful for research—especially for designing smarter prevention trials—while still falling short of being a personal “yes/no” forecast for individuals, largely because of biological complexity, measurement limitations, and the realities of predicting rare diseases.

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